Tropical Storm Oscar

Tropical Storm Oscar Forming 2000 Hours October 15 2018
Tropical Storm Oscar Forming 2000 Hours October 15 2018

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad low pressure system (see 2 videos below) located over the northeastern portion of Honduras is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms over eastern Honduras, northern Nicaragua, and portions of the western Caribbean Sea. This system is expected to move near or just offshore of the northern coast of Honduras, and if the center moves offshore, a tropical depression could form before moving inland over Belize by late Tuesday.

Regardless of development, gusty winds are possible over portions of Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula on Tuesday. In addition, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of Central America during the next few days. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system Tuesday afternoon, if necessary.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located just offshore of northeastern Honduras contine to show some signs of organization. The system is expected to move near or just offshore of north coast of Honduras, and it is possible that it could become a tropical depression before the low moves inland over Belize late Tuesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of Central America for much of the week.

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system on Tuesday afternoon.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are showing some signs of organization. The system is moving west-northwestward, and it is possible that it could become a tropical depression before it moves inland over Central America by Tuesday.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of Central America for much of the week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Oct 14 2018

An area of disturbed weather has developed over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in association with a large low pressure system located more than 200 miles east-southeast of the Nicaragua-Honduras border. Upper-air data indicate that the system has become better defined over the past couple of days.

However, the surface circulation remains broad and upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally favorable for any development to occur while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the next couple of days, reaching Nicaragua and Honduras by late Monday or early Tuesday.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall will be possible across portions of Central America Tuesday through Thursday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

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Recent Tropical Storms

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