Tropical Storm Emilia

Tropical Storm Emilia 1100 Hours June 30 2018
Tropical Storm Emilia 1100 Hours June 30 2018
Tropical Storm Emilia Satellite 1100 Hours June 30 2018
Tropical Storm Emilia Satellite 1100 Hours June 30 2018

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Sat Jun 30 2018 

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from  the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is  based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and  meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through  1500 UTC.

At 1500 UTC Jun 30 newly downgraded TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA  (see new video below) was centered at 17.7N 119.2W, or about 610 nm WSW of the  southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, moving west- northwest, or 295 degrees at 10 kt. The estimated minimum  central pressure is 1004 mb. The maximum sustained wind speed is  30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Emilia has weakened overnight as it  has moved into cooler waters, with scattered moderate and  isolated strong convection confined to within 210 nm across the  SW quadrant. Emilia is expected to continue to gradually weaken  as it moves WNW and will likely degenerate to a remnant low  later today or tonight.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2100 UTC Fri Jun 29 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis.

Tropical Storm Emilia centered near 16.6N 116.9W at 29/2100 UTC or 550 nm SW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California moving WNW at 9 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt. Numerous  moderate and scattered strong convection is confined to roughly  the the SW semicircle and extends from 12N to 18N between 116W  and 121W. Wave heights to 19 ft are likely occurring under the  strongest winds, and will peak near 20 ft tonight.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1545 UTC Fri Jun 29 2018

Tropical Storm Emilia is centered near 16.2N 116.3W at 29/1500  UTC or 540 nm SW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California moving  WNW at 10 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb.  Maximum sustained wind speed is 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt.

Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is confined to roughly the the SW semicircle and extends from 13N to 17N  between 115W and 120W. Peak wave heights to 18 ft are likely  occurring under the strongest winds, and will increase to near 22 ft when the system peaks in intensity tonight.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 604 UTC Thu Jun 28 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0845 UTC.

Newly upgraded Tropical Storm Emilia is centered near 13.8N  111.3W at 28/0900 UTC or 550 nm S of the Southern Tip of Baja  California moving WNW at 13 kt. Estimated minimum central  pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with  gusts to 45 kt. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is found elsewhere within 90 nm of a line from 12N114W to  18N110W.

Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is  seen elsewhere from 09N to 16N between 113W and 119W. Slow  strengthening is forecast for this system during the next 72  hours, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on Thursday.  If this storm system become organized, it will be named Tropical Storm Fabio.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Jun 28 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Emilia , located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. A large area of cloudiness and showers south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated with a westward-moving tropical wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development of this system over the next several days, and a tropical depression is expected to form well south of the coast of Mexico over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

2. Another tropical wave is forecast to move over southern Central America later today, and then move into the far eastern Pacific by late Friday. Environmental conditions should support some development early next week south of Central America while the system moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jun 27 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Cloudiness and showers associated with a broad low pressure area located about 600 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to gradually become better organized. Environmental conditions support further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or so while the system moves generally west-northwestward away from Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…near 100 percent.

2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern Pacific Ocean are associated with a westward-moving tropical wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the next several days, and a tropical depression is expected to form well south of the coast of Mexico over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 26 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Daniel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad low pressure area located about 600 miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, has become a little better organized this morning. Additional gradual development is likely, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves generally west-northwestward, well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

2. A tropical wave located over Nicaragua and Costa Rica is expected to move into the eastern Pacific by tonight. Development is anticipated as the system moves westward away from Central America, and a tropical depression is expected to form by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Jun 26 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Daniel, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad low pressure area located about 600 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, has again changed little over the past several hours. However, environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves generally west-northwestward, well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

2. A tropical wave located over Nicaragua and Costa Rica is expected to move into the eastern Pacific by tonight. Development is anticipated as the system moves westward away from Central America, and a tropical depression is expected to form by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high...90 percent.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018

Tropical Storm Emilia Forming  – Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W.

The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis.

Shower activity associated with a broad low pressure area located about 650 miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, has continued to increase today. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next few days while the system moves generally west-northwestward, well south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

Article Resources:

Video: Pacific Ocean – Tropical Storm Emilia + Tropical Disturbances

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