Cruise Ship Weather Atlantic Tropical Storm Alberto Maybe Forming

Tropical Storm Alberto Radar May 28 2018
Tropical Storm Alberto Radar May 28 2018
Tropical Storm Alberto May 28 2018
Tropical Storm Alberto May 28 2018

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 813 AM EDT Mon May 28 2018 (see Monday video below)

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1115 UTC.

…SPECIAL FEATURES…

The center of Subtropical Storm Alberto as of 28/1200 UTC, is  located near 29.0N 86.0W, or about 87 nautical miles SSE of  Destin, FL. The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb. The maximum sustained wind speeds are 55 knots with gusts to 65  knots. Alberto is moving N at 5 knots. Isolated moderate  convection with scattered showers are near the center over the  NE Gulf of Mexico from 25N-31N between 83W-89W. A large band of  scattered moderate to strong convection is E of the center over  the NW Caribbean, central Cuba, the Straits of Florida, S  Florida, and the N Bahamas, from 16N-27N between 77W-84W.  Alberto is expected to move inland, in the Florida Panhandle,  this afternoon or evening. Alberto is forecast to move well  inland into the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday and into the Ohio  Valley and Great Lakes region on Wednesday and Thursday. A  couple of brief tornadoes are possible today from northern  Florida into central and southern Georgia, southern South  Carolina, and southeastern Alabama

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 805 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018 

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central AmericaGulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through  1145 UTC.

The center of Subtropical Storm Alberto, at 27/1200 UTC, is near  26.3N 84.4W, or about 195 km WSW of the Dry Tortugas, and about  645 km S of Apalachicola Florida. The estimated minimum central  pressure is 997 mb. The maximum sustained wind speeds are 40  knots with gusts to 50 knots. It is moving N, 13 knots.  Precipitation: scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers  cover the area that extends from 20N to 29N between 76W and 86W,  from Cuba and its surrounding waters to the Bahamas, to parts of  Florida and all the surrounding waters.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 118 PM EDT Sat May 26 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through  1700 UTC.

…SPECIAL FEATURES…

Subtropical Storm Alberto centered near 21.6N 84.9W at 26/1500 UTC moving north at 9 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is  1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45  kt. Alberto is interacting with an upper trough, supporting  widespread showers and thunderstorms over the northwest Caribbean, western and central Cuba and the southeast Gulf of Mexico through South Florida. The stronger winds on the northeast side of the  center of Alberto are commencing in the southeast Gulf north of  western Cuba, allowing seas to build. The forecast calls for  gradual development as Alberto moves northward across the central  Gulf of Mexico late Mon, making landfall along the north central  Gulf coast by early Tue.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1130 UTC.

…SPECIAL FEATURES…

Subtropical Storm Alberto centered near 19.9N 85.6W at 26/0900UTC moving NNE at 6 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45kt. Alberto is interacting with an upper trough, and remainsdeeply sheared. Thunderstorm activity has diminished slightly recently, and is displaced well to the east of the low levelcenter.  However, widespread showers and thunderstorms persist over Cuba, South Florida, and the eastern Gulf of Mexico on the east side of the upper trough. The forecast calls for gradual  development as Alberto moves northward into  the  south  central  Gulf of Mexico, as either a tropical or subtropical storm. See latest  NHC forecast/advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMAT1/WTNT21  KNHC for more details.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 730 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the low pressure system located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea just east of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico has become better defined overnight, and thunderstorm activity has also increased and become better organized. Environmental conditions are forecast to steadily
become more conducive for development, and a subtropical or tropical depression or storm is likely to form by Saturday over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 205 PM EDT Thu May 24 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1745 UTC. …SPECIAL FEATURES… A broad, stationary 1009 mb surface low pressure system is centered over the southeastern Yucatan Peninsula near 19N88W, gradually becoming better defined. Scattered heavy showers and thunderstorms along with strong gusty winds are confined primarily to the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea N of 18N W of 82W, including the Yucatan Channel and the Straits of Florida. Isolated showers and tstms associated with this system are already in the SE Gulf of Mexico S of 25N and also extend to the Gulf of Honduras. Gradual development of this system is expected during the next couple of days as it drifts northward near the Yucatan Peninsula. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development through early next week, and a subtropical or tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over Memorial Day weekend. The chance for tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours is medium. The chance for tropical cyclone formation during the next 5 days is high.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 130 PM EDT Thu May 24 2018 

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad surface low drifting slowly northward over the eastern Yucatan Peninsula continues to become better defined. Although showers and thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds, remain primarily over the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development through early next week, and a subtropical or tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance Friday afternoon, if necessary. Locally heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over the Memorial Day weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products issued by your local weather office.

The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 800 PM EDT this evening.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 740 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad, stationary surface low pressure system centered over the southeastern Yucatan Peninsula is gradually becoming better defined. Although showers and thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds, are confined primarily to the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea, gradual development of this system is expected during the next couple of days as it drifts northward near the Yucatan Peninsula. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development through early next week, and a subtropical or tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over Memorial Day weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products issued by your local weather office.

The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 200 PM EDT this afternoon.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 710 PM EDT Wed May 23 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad surface low centered over the southeastern Yucatan Peninsula has become better defined since yesterday, and it continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba into the Florida Straits. Continued slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days as it drifts northward near the Yucatan Peninsula. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical or tropical depression is likely to form this weekend over the eastern or central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across western Cuba and the Cayman Islands during the next few days, and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast during the weekend. For more information on the heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 800 AM EDT on Thursday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

Special Tropical Weather Outlook

Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed May 23 2018

Corrected header For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad surface low centered near the coast of northeastern Belize continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba and into the Florida Straits. Little development is expected during the next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds and proximity to the Yucatan Peninsula. However, environmental conditions are then forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical or tropical depression could form this weekend over the eastern or central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across western Cuba and the Cayman Islands during the next few days, and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast during the weekend. For more information on the heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather office.

The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 800 PM EDT.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent.

A storm brewing in the Gulf of Mexico, could be our first Atlantic named storm of the 2018 season. Officially, the Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30. If this storm is named, it will be Tropical Storm Alberto.

Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 745 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad surface low centered just east of Belize is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba into the Florida peninsula. While strong upper-level winds and dry air aloft are expected to limit organization during the next couple of days, some gradual subtropical or tropical development is possible late this week while the system moves slowly northward into the central or eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across western Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and much of Florida during the next several days. For more information on the heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 800 PM EDT. Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent. Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 830 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018 For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Widespread cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba and the Florida peninsula are associated with the interaction of a large upper-level low with a weak surfacetrough. While environmental conditions are expected to be unfavorable for development during the next couple of days, somegradual development is possible later this week while the system moves into the central or eastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across western Cuba and Florida over the next several days. For more information on the heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 800 PM EDT tonight.

Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent. Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

2018 Atlantic Storm Names

Alberto
Beryl
Chris
Debby
Ernesto
Florence
Gordon
Helene
Isaac
Joyce
Kirk
Leslie
Michael
Nadine
Oscar
Patty
Rafael
Sara
Tony
Valerie
William

Article Resources:

Video:Subtropical Storm Alberto approaching Florida panhandle

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