Tropical Storm Rina

Tropical Storm Rina Track 1100 Hours November 8 2017
Tropical Storm Rina Track 1100 Hours November 8 2017
Tropical Storm Rina Satellite 1100 Hours November 8 2017
Tropical Storm Rina Satellite 1100 Hours November 8 2017

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM AST Wed Nov 08 2017  (see video below)

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rina was located near latitude 39.4 North, longitude 48.7 West. Rina is moving toward the north near 21 mph (33 km/h). A turn toward the north-northeast is expected overnight, followed by a rapid northeastward motion on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast through tonight before weakening begins on Thursday. Rina is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by early Thursday morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).

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Previous Warning 1100 AM AST Wed Nov 08 2017

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rina was located near latitude 39.4 North, longitude 48.7 West. Rina is moving toward the north near 21 mph (33 km/h). A turn toward the north-northeast is expected overnight, followed by a rapid northeastward motion on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast through tonight before weakening begins on Thursday. Rina is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by early Thursday morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).

Previous Warning 1500 UTC WED NOV 07 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.4N 48.7W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT……. 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…….140NE 140SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE 240SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

Previous Warning 800 AM EDT Sat Nov 4 2017

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A low pressure area about 950 miles southeast of Bermuda continues to produce some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.

This low could acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics as it moves to the north-northeast over the central Atlantic this weekend into early next week.

Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 10 percent. Formation chance through 5 days, low, 30 percent.

Previous Warning 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 31 2017

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A weak, non-tropical area of low pressure located about 1000 miles east-southeast of Bermuda is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly well to the northeast and southeast of the low. Strong upper-level winds and dry air are expected to limit any subtropical or tropical cyclone development during the next couple of days while the system meanders over the central Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores.

Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 20 percent. Formation chance through 5 days, low, 20 percent.

Previous Warning 800 AM EDT Mon Oct 30 2017

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system located about 1000 miles east of Bermuda is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly northeast through southeast of the center.

This low could gradually acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics by the middle of the week while it meanders over the central Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores. Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 30 percent. Formation chance through 5 days, medium, 40 percent.

Previous Warning 200 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Philippe, located just north of the northwestern Bahamas.

1. A non-tropical low pressure system is located about 1000 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. This low could gradually acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics by the middle of the week while the low meanders over the central Atlantic Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores. Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 10 percent. Formation chance through 5 days, medium, 40 percent.

Previous Warning  200 PM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Philippe, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the Isle of Youth, Cuba.

1. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form during the next few days over the east-central Atlantic Ocean. Some subtropical or tropical development of this low is possible by the middle of next week while it meanders well to the southwest of the Azores. Formation chance through 48 hours, low, near 0 percent. Formation chance through 5 days, low, 30 percent.

Previous Warning 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 28 2017

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen, located over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea. Formation chance through 48 hours, high, 80 percent. Formation chance through 5 days, high, 80 percent. This storm system is predicted to be named Tropical Storm Philippe.

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form next week over the east-central Atlantic Ocean. Some subtropical or tropical development of this low is possible by the middle of next week while it meanders well to the southwest of the Azores. Formation chance through 48 hours, low, near 0 percent. Formation chance through 5 days, low, 20 percent. If this becomes a name storm, it will be Tropical Storm Rina.

Video: Tropics Update: Tropical Storm Rina, November 7 2017