Cruise Ship Weather
Tropical Storm Gert became a category 1 hurricane at the 0500 hours update.
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017
After a period of intensification several hours ago, recent satellite images show that the cloud pattern has deteriorated a little bit. The eye is no longer discernible, and the center is now located to the west of an area of very deep convection. Dvorak numbers still support an initial intensity of 65 kt. Gert has an opportunity to gather some strength in the next day or so after recurvature.
The best estimate of the initial motion is toward the north or 360 degrees at 10 kt. Gert is being steered northward by the flow around the western edge of the subtropical ridge. The cyclone should then turn to the northeast with an increase in forward speed later today as it becomes embedded within the mid-latitude flow. The NHC trackforecast is similar to the previous one, and is in the middle of the tight guidance envelope.
Swells from Gert are expected to spread northward along the mid-Atlantic coast of the United States during the next few days. These swells are likely to produce dangerous surf and rip current conditions.
Current Location 31.8N 72.5W 75 MPH (off S Carolina)
12H 15/1800Z 33.3N 71.5W 80 MPH (off S Carolina)
24H 16/0600Z 35.5N 68.9W 85 MPH (off N Carolina)
36H 16/1800Z 37.8N 64.0W 85 MPH (off Maryland)
48H 17/0600Z 40.0N 57.0W 80 MPH (off New York
72H 18/0600Z 46.5N 41.0W 75 MPH (off Canada)
96H 19/0600Z 52.0N 36.0W 60 MPH (off Canada)
We are watching two other storm systems in the Atlantic at this time.
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Video: Gert storm strengthens off Bermuda