The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E, located about 65 miles south of Salina Cruz, Mexico.
As of 0400 hours on Monday, June 12, 2017, the Tropical Weather Outlook National Weather Service (NWS) National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida says, “The cyclone is expected to remain over warm water in an environment of moderate shear until landfall, and thus gradual intensification to tropical-storm strength is expected. This portion of the intensity forecast is at the upper edge of the guidance, and an alternative forecast scenario is that the cyclone never becomes a tropical storm. The intensity forecast has been changed after landfall to show a faster dissipation over the mountains of Mexico in agreement with the various dynamical models.”
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three-E was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 95.3 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of the tropical cyclone will be near the coast of Mexico in the warning area by tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm before making landfall in Mexico. If named, the storm will be named Tropical Storm Calvin.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
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